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Another Global Great Depression-Style Era? Unraveling the Debt Web Before We’re Entangled
The specter of a global debt crisis looms large as nations across the globe navigate through precarious economic waters, evoking fears reminiscent of past financial calamities. The potential crisis sketches a complex, interlinked scenario where economic, social, and political dimensions are intertwined, necessitating a nuanced understanding and a holistic approach to mitigate the ensuing risks.
The surge in global debt, catalyzed by high interest rates, climate change costs, health, and pension expenditures due to aging populations, has sent shivers down the spine of the global economy. Developed economies like the US, Italy, and Britain are at the epicenter of this debt surge, reflecting alarming fiscal trends. Over 80% of the $10 trillion increase in global debt in the first half, reaching a staggering sum of $307 trillion, emanated from developed economies. The lack of credible fiscal plans to manage this burgeoning debt, intertwined with the requirements of boosting growth and potential tax increments, lays bare the financial vulnerability that these nations face.
Historically, debt crises have translated into lower growth, higher inflation, and severe setbacks in poverty alleviation and other developmental goals. The social fabric of debtor countries may undergo a severe test as austerity measures, often a response to debt crises, could exacerbate social inequalities. Particularly concerning is the potential rise in unemployment…